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December 27, 2016

Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises

We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks.

December 13, 2016

Decemberraming 2016: economische vooruitzichten 2017

De economische groei zet door. Zowel dit jaar, als in 2017 neemt het bbp met 2,1% toe. De werkloosheid daalt volgend jaar naar 5,3% en de overheidsbegroting is in evenwicht. De koopkracht neemt toe met 0,7%. De internationale omgeving blijft echter onzeker.

September 20, 2016

Macro Economic Outlook (MEV) 2017

In this publication CPB presents its analyses and projections of both the Dutch and worldwide economy in 2016 and 2017.

September 20, 2016

De MEV2017-raming en de Europese begrotingsregels

Voor Nederland zijn momenteel de begrotingsregels van de preventieve arm van het Stabiliteits- en Groeipact van belang. De preventieve arm ziet toe op het toegroeien naar en behouden van begrotingsevenwicht.

September 9, 2016

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Continental Europe versus the Anglo-Saxon World

For economic forecasting it is important to know how the real economy responds to major events such as the fall of the Soviet Union, the Greek debt crisis, the recent terrorism attacks in Europe, and the Brexit.

August 17, 2016

Evidence on Dutch macroeconomic and sectoral productivity performance: Some stylised facts

Productivity is the key driver of long-run living standards. However, in recent years productivity growth has been low across the developed world.

July 14, 2016

Potential economic effects of TTIP for the Netherlands

The economic effects of TTIP are analysed with WorldScan. TTIP is expected to have a positive effect on trade between the EU and the US and on investment and economic growth in both areas. Hence, the Netherlands will benefit with an increase in GDP of 1.7% in 2030.

May 30, 2016

CPB Risicorapportage Financiële Markten 2016

Rapportage voor de Tweede Kamer over de internationale en nationale macro-economische ontwikkelingen in samenhang met ontwikkelingen in de financiële sector.

May 27, 2016

Determinants of long-term interest rates

The nominal long-term interest rate decreased in the past decades due to the decrease in (expected) inflation and in potential growth and due to changes in the age structure of the population.

March 21, 2016

Central Economic Plan (CEP) 2016

The moderate rate of economic recovery is continuing, on a global level, with a 2.9% growth in the world economy projected for this year, and 3.2% for the next.