Publications

Extension of support package reduces increase in unemployment, but also leads to greater budget deficit. →

What is the impact of extreme external shocks, such as the Great Recession, upon Dutch public finances? The question is very challenging, given that such shocks are very different from mild disruptions of the economy... →

The return on safe assets has been declining over the past 40 years lowering the return on people’s wealth. Should people save more for retirement to compensate for the lower return on wealth?... →

Renewed growth in Dutch economy from third quarter onwards, but downturn will reverberate. →

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price... →

Demand-side cost-sharing schemes reduce moral hazard in healthcare at the expense of out-of-pocket risk and equity. With a structural microsimulation model, we show that shifting the starting point of the deductible... →

In this CPB Background Document we investigate the use of the standard structural gravity model for trade policy analysis at the CPB. The model is intended for long term analyses of trade policy changes and is based on... →

Unprecedented 6% decrease in GDP in 2020, followed by an increase of 3% next year. Unemployment would double, but, although public finances would be severely impacted, they would not enter the danger zone. Great uncertainty. →

This background document to CPB’s Financial Stability Report provides policymakers with an initial assessment of the effects of the corona crisis on the liquidity position of Dutch SMEs and its impact on their... →

Effects on the job finding rate. →