February 22, 2011

Preliminary table Main Economic Indicators (February 2011)

CPB: concept-raming voor 2011 en 2012 bekend

Press release
Ten behoeve van de productie van het Centraal Economisch Plan (CEP) 2011 heeft het CPB vandaag een concept-raming voor 2011 en 2012 afgerond.
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The table 'Main economic indicators'

International items
 2009201020112012
Relevant world trade volume
(%)

-13.7

11.3

6 1/4

5

Import price goods (%)

-7.5

6.9

4 3/4

1/4

Export price competitors (%)

-2.9

5.3

3 1/4

3/4

Crude oil price (Brent, $)

61.5

79.5

97

97

Exchange rate (dollar per euro)

1.39

1.33

1.34

1.34

Long-term interest rate (%)

3.7

3.0

3 1/2

4

Demand and foreign trade (volume)
 2009201020112012
Gross domestic product
(GDP, economic growth) (%)

-3.9

1.7

1 3/4

1 1/2

Private consumption (%)

-2.5

0.4

3/4

1

Public demand (%)

4.0

1.0

0

-1/2

Gross fixed investment,
private non-residential (%)

-18.2

-1.6

4

4 3/4

Exports of goods
(non-energy) (%)

-9.2

12.7

7 1/4

5 1/4

of which domestically
produced (%)

-10.5

7.2

3

2 3/4

re-exports (%)

-7.9

17.7

10 3/4

7

Imports of goods (%)

-10.3

12.1

6 1/4

4 1/2

Prices, wages and purchasing power
 2009201020112012
Export price goods
(excluding energy) (%)

-5.3

4.1

1 1/2

0

Price competitiveness (%)

4.3

-0.8

0

1

Consumer prices (CPI) (%)

1.2

1.3

2

2

Contractual wages
market sector (%)

2.7

1.0

1 3/4

2 1/2

Compensation per full-time
employee market sector (%)

2.0

1.7

3 1/4

3 1/2

Purchasing power
(median, all households) (%)

1.8

-0.4

-3/4

-3/4

Labour market (international definition 'labour force', unless stated differently)
 2009201020112012
Labour force
(%)

0.7

-0.3

1/2

3/4

Employed labour
force (%)

0.1

-1.0

1

1

Unemployment
(x 1000 pers.)

327

390

365

355

Unemployment rate (%)

3.7

4.5

4 1/4

4

Idem, national
definition (%)

4.8

5.5

5

4 3/4

Market sector
 2009201020112012
Production (%)

-5.4

1.5

2 1/4

1 3/4

Labour productivity (%)

-3.1

3.5

1 1/2

1 1/4

Employment (labour years) (%)

-2.4

-1.9

3/4

1/2

Price gross value added (%)

2.6

1.7

1/4

3/4

Real labour costs (%)

-0.6

-0.1

3

2 3/4

Labour share in
enterprise income (level in %)

80.9

78.3

79

80

Profit share (of
domestic production)
(level in %)

7.7

9.4

10 1/2

10 1/4

General government
 2009201020112012
General government financial
balance (% GDP)

-5.4

-5.2

-3.6

-2.2

Gross debt general
government (% GDP)

60.8

64.3

66.1

66.5

Taxes and social security
contributions (% GDP)

38.2

38.6

39.0

39.6

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