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What is the impact of extreme external shocks, such as the Great Recession, upon Dutch public finances? The question is very challenging, given that such shocks are very different from mild disruptions of the economy... →

In deze MEV 2021 raamt het CPB het gemiddelde aantal bijstandsuitkeringen op 376 duizend in 2020. Dit is een stijging van 15 duizend ten opzichte van 2019. In 2021 stijgt het gemiddelde aantal verder naar 401... →

The figures present fan charts around the MEV 2021 point forecasts for GDP growth, HICP inflation, unemployment and general government financial... →

In the baseline projections, which assume no large-scale new physical contact restrictions will be needed, the economy shrinks by 5% in 2020, followed by over 3% growth in 2021. Unemployment will rise to 6% in 2021.... →

De corona-uitbraak leidt tot een lager bbp-niveau in 2025 dan in de verkenning van maart. Het bbp-volume in 2025 is in de basisverkenning 4% neerwaarts herzien ten opzichte van die in maart; in het dieperdalscenario is... →

In the baseline projections, which assume no large-scale new physical contact restrictions will be needed, the economy shrinks by 5% in 2020, followed by over 3% growth in 2021. Unemployment will rise to 6% in 2021.... →

Deze CPB Notitie certificeert de raming van de budgettaire effecten van het mogelijk maken van de pensioenuitkering als bedrag ineens, een tijdelijke vrijstelling in de RVU-heffing en de uitbreiding van het... →

Renewed growth in Dutch economy from third quarter onwards, but downturn will reverberate. →

In the baseline projections, which assume no large-scale new physical contact restrictions are needed, the economy will shrink by 5% in 2020, followed by 3% growth in 2021. Unemployment will rise up to 7% in 2021.... →

This background document describes a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model to support the CPB short-term forecasts of wage growth and price... →