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January 25, 2019

CPB World Trade Monitor November 2018

The CPB World Trade Monitor shows that the volume of world trade decreased 1.6% in November, having increased 1.2% in October (initial estimate 1.1%). Due to the US shutdown, no data on US import/export values in November are available. The 0.0% import/export volume growth for the US is a technical assumption.

January 24, 2019

Conduit country the Netherlands in the spotlight

The Netherlands is an important link in the chain of diverting income flows: broader use of withholding taxes is necessary to combat international tax avoidance.

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January 24, 2019

The Netherlands is an important link in the chain of diverting income flows: broader use of withholding taxes is necessary to combat international tax avoidance

Sixty percent of the royalties that flow via the Netherlands go directly to tax haven Bermuda. Outgoing interest flows are diverted less often to tax havens: around 20 percent. In addition, some 25% of the outgoing...

December 24, 2018

CPB World Trade Monitor October 2018

The CPB World Trade Monitor shows that the volume of world trade increased 1.1% in October, having decreased 1.1% in September (unchanged from initial estimate).

October 19, 2018

Estimating migration changes from the EU’s free movement of people principle

We estimate the impact of the free movement of people (FMP) principle on bilateral intra-EU migration stocks using a gravity model. Employing a combination of the World Bank and the UN’s global migration databases, with observations between 1960 and 2015, allows us to analyse the impact of the FMP for most EU member states.

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October 16, 2018

The effects of globalisation in the Netherlands: A theoretical and empirical survey

The purpose of this document is to put the developments of globalisation into perspective for the Dutch labour market.

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September 3, 2018

The scope of the external return to higher education

This article examines whether the productivity spillovers from a large share of highly educated workers occur within regions, sectors and/or firms. To distinguish between these possibilities, I follow a two-stage procedure to estimate a Mincerian wage equation using matched employer-employee panel data on individual earnings and educational attainment.

July 6, 2018

Trade Wars: Economic impacts of US tariff increases and retaliations, an international perspective

"Effect trade conflict limited, escalation only has losers". This background document provides information on the economic consequences of the current trade dispute between the US and several countries that announced retaliatory packages or filed them already with the WTO.

July 2, 2018

Frontier firms and followers in the Netherlands: estimating productivity and identifying the frontier

This study shows that constructing a large dataset, which sufficiently covers all firm sizes, is a prerequisite for studying the divergence hypothesis. We merge datasets of individual firm and employee data in the years 20062015 for the Netherlands, resulting in a representative sample of corporations. We find no evidence of diverging productivity between firms on the national frontier and laggard firms.

June 28, 2018

Koplopers en volgers: geen divergentie in Nederland

Deze CPB-Notitie geeft een overzicht van de bijdragen van kleine en grote bedrijven aan de productiviteitsgroei in Nederland.