Publications


February 14, 2025

National Productivity Board 2024

Labour productivity in the market sector declined by 1.4% in 2023.

Field full of tulips
February 13, 2025

The Effect of Adverse Life-Events on Income Trajectories

This paper studies and compares the effect of different adverse life events on individuals’ income trajectories. We use a harmonized research design across events and assess the effect of adverse events on ...

balance
February 11, 2025

Cycling cities: Mode choice, car congestion, and urban structure

This study examines the impact of cycling on urban spatial structure and welfare through the development of a quantitative spatial model that incorporates mode choice and car congestion....

cyclists
January 21, 2025

Extraordinary Measures: The Role of Debt Levels in Fiscal Policy Responses to Covid-19

Data shows that countries with higher pre-pandemic debt levels implemented more discretionary fiscal policy measures in the Covid-19 pandemic than countries with lower debt levels. This contrasts with theories of fiscal...

Covid virus
December 12, 2024

Responses to cost-sharing: Do socio-demographic characteristics matter?

Patient cost-sharing in health insurance tends to reduce moral hazard, but the effect may differ between subgroups.

Painkillers and money
November 28, 2024

Effects of US Import Tariffs on the Dutch and European Economy

The announced import tariffs by the future US president Trump are expected to primarily impact the United States' own imports and exports.

Erasmusbrug block
October 10, 2024

Choosing for the future: four scenarios for 2050

The choices we make now are decisive for the Netherlands of 2050. In the long-term report, CPB outlines four scenarios to aid politicians in making these choices.

Long Term Report to Dick Schoof
September 17, 2024

Projections September 2024 (MEV 2025)

Now that the government has finalised its budget for next year, the expected increase in purchasing power in 2025 will be lower than previously estimated. Meanwhile, the budget deficit will be slightly lower.

MEV 2025 - Promo UK
August 16, 2024

August projections 2024 (cMEV 2025)

The economy is on the rise again, with projected growth of 0.6% in 2024 and 1.6% in 2025. An increase in median purchasing power means that the loss of purchasing power inflicted by the inflation shock has been reversed. The budget deficit in the coming years will be significantly higher than last year.

August projections block
July 10, 2024

The added value of machine learning for macroeconomic forecasting in the Netherlands

In this paper, we explore how machine learning can enhance macroeconomic forecasting for the Dutch economy.

Woman working on a computer