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October 4, 2022

Forecasting World Trade Using Big Data and Machine Learning Techniques

We compare machine learning techniques to a large Bayesian VAR for nowcasting and forecasting world merchandise trade. We focus on how the predictive performance of the machine learning models changes when they have...

September 29, 2022

Temporal Patterns in Economics Research

We study the duration of topics in economics research by looking at how much time passes between publication of textually similar papers....

May 25, 2022

Meerjarenonderzoeksplan 2022-2024

Het strategisch meerjarenonderzoeksplan 2022-2024 (mjop) geeft aan welke onderzoeksambities het CPB heeft. In lijn met dit plan worden de jaarlijkse werkplannen opgesteld, waarin de onderzoeksprojecten die dat jaar...

March 17, 2022

Addressing Unemployment Rate Forecast Errors in Relation to the Business Cycle

In this paper we show that the prediction errors for unemployment vary over the business cycle. We initially use a macroeconomic data for the United States, because these data are available for a longer period than for...