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Predicting Firm Exits with Machine Learning: Implications for Selection into COVID-19 Support and Productivity Growth
In this paper, we use machine learning techniques to predict whether a company would have left the market in a world without corona. These predictions show that unhealthy companies applied for support less often than healthy companies. But we also show that the COVID-19 support has prevented most exits among unhealthy companies. This indicates that the corona support measures have had a negative impact on productivity growth. →
Persuitnodiging achtergrondbriefing raming maart 2023 (CEP 2023)
Webinar raming maart 2023 (CEP 2023)
Release date next World Trade Monitor
World trade grew in 2022, despite the war in Ukraine
World Trade Monitor December 2022
Vergroening economie vraagt doelbewuste groei
Uitputting van grondstoffen, aantasting van biodiversiteit en klimaatverandering. Het is helder dat we ons op een onhoudbaar pad bevinden. Kan groene groei het tij keren of moeten we ‘ontgroeien’? In zijn maandelijkse essay in Het Financieele Dagblad pleit CPB-directeur Pieter Hasekamp voor doelbewuste groene groei. →
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