Publications


March 25, 2022

Inequality and Redistribution in the Netherlands

How high is income inequality in the Netherlands? How progressive are taxes and how much income does government spending redistribute? This study presents the most exhaustive responses for the Netherlands to these...

March 23, 2022

Analysis of international trade sanctions against Russia

Het effect van de huidige handelssancties tegen Rusland voor Nederlandse economie zijn op termijn beperkt. Bij een eventuele stop van de Russische energietoevoer kan Nederland indirect wel flink geraakt worden o.a. via internationale productieketens.

No title
March 17, 2022

Addressing Unemployment Rate Forecast Errors in Relation to the Business Cycle

In this paper we show that the prediction errors for unemployment vary over the business cycle. We initially use a macroeconomic data for the United States, because these data are available for a longer period than for...

March 9, 2022

Projections March 2022 (CEP 2022)

Energy price increase has unequal impact; uncertainty dominates projections

Central Economic Plan 2022
January 31, 2022

Entries and Regional Growth: The Role of Relatedness

If new businesses and establishments are more closely related to economic activities taking place in a region, is this associated with higher regional growth a few years later? In this paper, we investigate the...

January 26, 2022

Trade benefits of the EU and the Internal Market

The Dutch gross domestic product (GDP) is structurally 3.1% higher due to the trade benefits of the European Union. This makes the Netherlands one of the countries that will benefit most from the increased trade by the EU.

 trade benefits of the European Union
January 13, 2022

How far Do gazelles run? Growth Patterns of Regular Firms, High Growth Firms and Startups

High growth firms receive a lot attention from policy. In many countries, policies to stimulate economic growth target startups -- loosely defined as young firms that often rely on new technology to develop scaleable...

January 11, 2022

Analysis of the economic and budgetary impact of the Coalition Agreement

CPB, at the request of the ‘formateur’ (person responsible for forming a new government), calculated the budgetary and economic consequences of the current Coalition Agreement. This was done on the basis of the budgetary appendix to the Coalition Agreement.

Analysis of the Coalition Agreement
December 22, 2021

Saffier 3.0: Technical Background

This paper documents the Saffier 3.0 model that is used for making macroeconomic projections and assessing the responses to fiscal policy changes in the short and medium run. This dual purpose of the model brings with...

Photo of an abacus and the code of the model
December 14, 2021

30 Years of Generational Accounting: A Critical Review

The question whether fiscal policies can be considered sustainable in the light of population ageing is old, but still relevant. Even more so, its relevance has increased recently as public debt levels have gone up...