Publications


March 9, 2023

Projections March 2023 (CEP 2023)

Purchasing power restored through wage growth, but more people living below the poverty line.

CEP 2023 uk-webpicture promoblock
March 9, 2023

Energy prices, the distribution of income, and the effects of wage indexation

How do increases in energy prices transmit to real economic activity and influence the distribution of income? Does it matter whether households receive capital or labor income? What are the distributional and...

March 1, 2023

Predicting Firm Exits with Machine Learning: Implications for Selection into COVID-19 Support and Productivity Growth

In this paper, we use machine learning techniques to predict whether a company would have left the market in a world without corona. These predictions show that unhealthy companies applied for support less often than healthy companies. But we also show that the COVID-19 support has prevented most exits among unhealthy companies. This indicates that the corona support measures have had a negative impact on productivity growth.

Corona
December 21, 2022

A look at the Dutch position in international student assessments

This study examines to what extent international student assessments are an accurate indicator of educational performance and concludes that various problems can influence the score and position of the Netherlands.

high school class
December 13, 2022

Getting off to a flying start? The effects of an early-career international mobility grant on scientific performance

Researchers who receive the Rubicon grant perform the same as comparable non-awarded applicants on a number of academic outcomes, such as the number of scientific publications and the citation score.

University
December 6, 2022

Energy price scenarios

Energy cap dampens purchasing power risks, but is not a structural solution.

Energy price scenarios
November 7, 2022

Wealth, gifts, and estate planning at the end of life

We show that gifts made to heirs before death are substantial and highly responsive to taxation. Therefore, characterising them and understanding their determinants is crucial for tax design. We use high-quality, intergenerationally-linked data on wealth, gifts, and medical expenses from the Netherlands.

The transfer of a piggy bank
October 4, 2022

Forecasting World Trade Using Big Data and Machine Learning Techniques

We compare machine learning techniques to a large Bayesian VAR for nowcasting and forecasting world merchandise trade. We focus on how the predictive performance of the machine learning models changes when they have...

September 29, 2022

Temporal Patterns in Economics Research

We study the duration of topics in economics research by looking at how much time passes between publication of textually similar papers....

September 20, 2022

Projections September 2022 (MEV 2023)

Temporary policy softens impact of energy crisis in 2023.

Macro Economic Outlook 2023