Seminar "Job Polarization in Advanced and Emerging Countries: Measuring Task Relocation and Technological Change in Global Supply Chains"

Time: 13.00-14.00 hours
Location: CPB-office, Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, The Hague, room 3, Braamzaal

Presentation: Laurie Reijnders (RUG)

Discussant: Hugo Rojas-Romagosa (CPB)

Language: English

Registration:  Please register here

A valid ID card is required for external visitors. Please note that the waiting time at the reception desk can last 5-10 minutes. Guests with a Rijkspas may circumvent the reception desk and directly  go to the seminar room by filling in this form in advance: InterDepartementale Toegang

Abstract subject: 
This paper documents that job polarization -- the simultaneous expansion of high- and low-wage occupations at the expense of middle-wage occupations -- is pervasive in the non-agricultural workforce for a large set of advanced and emerging countries over the period from 1999 to 2007. To investigate its driving forces we develop a task-based model of production in Global Supply Chains and propose a decomposition of changes in occupational labour demand. Using detailed and harmonized cross-country occupations data combined with world input-output tables, we find a dominant role for routine-biased technological change in almost all countries. Task relocation in Global Supply Chains contributes towards polarizing labour markets in advanced countries, including the US, the UK and France, while the opposite pattern is observed in offshore-destinations such as China and Eastern Europe.

CPB organises seminars for researchers. During these seminars, academic papers are presented and discussed. Seminars are held on Tuesday from 1.00 pm. to 2.00 pm.

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