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CPB | Economic Policy Analysis

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June 7, 2019

Estimates of the Financial Cycle for Advanced Economies

Until recently, macroeconomic theory provided at most a small role for the financial system to influence the real economy. This changed with the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 and the financial crisis which... →

June 7, 2019

Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy
Download Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy, Pdf, 391.8 KB
Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy, Pdf, 391.8 KB

We investigate the impact of the financial cycle on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. →

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June 7, 2019

Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy

We investigate the impact of the financial cycle on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. →

No title
March 9, 2017

Productivity Slowdown - Evidence for the Netherlands
Download Productivity Slowdown - Evidence for the Netherlands, English, Pdf, 2.5 MB
Productivity Slowdown - Evidence for the Netherlands, English, Pdf, 2.5 MB

This paper analyses how The Netherlands compares to other countries in terms of the productivity slowdown. It also includes a comparison of different sectors and tests possible explanatory variables. →

March 9, 2017

Productivity Slowdown - Evidence for the Netherlands

This paper analyses how The Netherlands compares to other countries in terms of the productivity slowdown. It also includes a comparison of different sectors and tests possible explanatory variables. →

December 27, 2016

Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises
Download Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises, Pdf, 1.4 MB
Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises, Pdf, 1.4 MB

We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks. →

December 27, 2016

Accounting for the Business Cycle Reduces the Estimated Losses from Systemic Banking Crises

We re-estimate the e ffects of systemic banking crises in industrialised countries reported by Cerra and Saxena with a model that includes transitory business cycle shocks. →

November 2, 2015

An estimated DSGE model for the Netherlands with unemployment

The Lucas critique is an important problem for economic policy analysis. →

No title
October 3, 2008

Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts
Download Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts, English, Pdf, 9.5 KB
Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts, English, Pdf, 9.5 KB

We compare the accuracy of our published GDP growth forecasts from our large macro model, SAFFIER, to those produced by VAR based models using both classical and Bayesian estimation techniques. →

October 3, 2008

Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts
Download Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts, English, Pdf, 186.8 KB
Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts, English, Pdf, 186.8 KB

We compare the accuracy of our published GDP growth forecasts from our large macro model, SAFFIER, to those produced by VAR based models using both classical and Bayesian estimation techniques. →

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